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Bernie Sanders Slips to 5th Place in Las Vegas Betting Odds – & in New Hampshire
July 16, 2019

Right About 2018, Rachel Bitecofer Tells How Trump Will Be Defeated in 2020
July 7, 2019

Straw Poll Results: Kamala Gets Her Magic Back
July 3, 2019

Betting Markets, Post-Debate, Catch Up with Our Pre-Debate 2020 Odds
June 30, 2019

Post-Debate Democratic Presidential Straw Poll
June 28, 2019

Live Night Two Democratic Debate Analysis & Commentary
June 27, 2019

About Last Night… & What to Look for on Night Two
June 27, 2019

Live Democratic Debate Analysis & Commentary
June 26, 2019

Politics as Reality TV: Preview of Tonight’s Debate
June 26, 2019

The 2020 Primaries Just Got Real
June 20, 2019

This Is No Time to Get Testy Among Democrats
June 18, 2019

The Speech ‘About Democratic Socialism’ That Wasn’t About It at All
June 12, 2019

Growing Pains in the Warren Campaign
June 10, 2019

May Straw Poll Results: Warren Leaps to the Front, Harris Still Strong
May 31, 2019

We’re Under Construction: Stay Tuned for New Features to Organize & Win
May 26, 2019

Voting Now Open: May 2019 Democratic Presidential Nomination Straw Poll
May 23, 2019

What Just Happened with Joe Biden?
April 10, 2019

February Straw Poll: Harris Solidifies Lead, Warren Support Grows
February 12, 2019

February Democratic Nomination Straw Poll
February 5, 2019

Flashback (1/29/19): Kamala Enters Like a Boss
January 29, 2019

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Useful Data Sources

 

FiveThirtyEight – Nate Silver

The Cycle – Rachel Biticofer

The Upshot at NY Times

Decision Desk HQ

CBS News Battleground Tracker Poll

The Economist US Elections Forecast

The Guardian’s Mail-In Voter Tracker

Plan Your Vote: State-by-State Mail-in Vote Deadlines & Rules (NBC News)

Sam Wang

The Cook Report

Taegen Goddard’s Interactive Electoral Vote Map

LeanTossUp 2020 Presidential Model

Daily Kos Elections

Larry Sabato

Inside Elections

Federal Elections Commission Data

Open Secrets

The Green Papers

National Democratic Redistricting Committee

PredictIt National Politics (all categories)

Archive

  • 2020 (29)
    • August (1)
    • June (2)
    • April (1)
    • March (5)
    • February (12)
    • January (8)
  • 2019 (61)
    • December (4)
    • November (7)
    • October (4)
    • September (5)
    • August (6)
    • July (11)
    • June (12)
    • May (5)
    • April (1)
    • February (2)
    • January (4)
  • 2018 (5)
    • December (2)
    • November (2)
    • October (1)

Recent Posts

  • “Alexa, Play the Democratic National Convention”: Night One Preview August 17, 2020
  • Biden’s VP, Costs & Benefits, Part II: The Crimefighters on the Short List June 25, 2020
  • Issue #123: How Trump Lost the War Room June 4, 2020
  • Biden’s VP, Costs & Benefits, Part I: Warren’s Successor Will Not Be a Republican April 20, 2020
  • Election Night Self-Quarantine Cabaret: A Backstage Gathering March 17, 2020
  • The Mikado Debate: The ‘Lord High Executioner’ vs. the ‘Lord High Everything Else’ March 16, 2020
  • Debate Watch in a Time of Coronavirus: Live Coverage March 15, 2020
  • Last Stand on the Shipwreck Coast: Introduction to Today’s Primary Projections March 10, 2020
  • Joe Biden Is the Presumptive Nominee March 5, 2020
  • A New Democratic Nomination Straw Poll Is Here: Voting Ends Friday February 26, 2020
  • South Carolina Debate Watch Party with Live Commentary & Analysis February 25, 2020
  • Nevada Debate Watch: Will Bloomberg “Flame on?” – or Flame Out? February 19, 2020
  • July 2020: A Contested Convention Scenario February 16, 2020
  • The Incredible Shrinking Sanders Vote: Iowa & New Hampshire Exposed the Dangers of a Diminishing Base February 12, 2020
  • The Results of Our First Post-Iowa Straw Poll February 10, 2020
  • Vote in February’s First Democratic Nomination Straw Poll February 8, 2020
  • New Hampshire Primary Debate: Live Analysis & Commentary February 7, 2020
  • The Battle of the College-Town Mayors as Seen Through a ‘Discovery Channel’ Lens February 7, 2020
  • Self-Care in the Age of Election Anxiety & The Super Bowl ‘Snackadium’ February 6, 2020
  • Eight Key Data Points We Already Know Out of Iowa Have Changed the Game February 4, 2020
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